RESEARCH:
climate change and ecological communities
RESEARCH:
climate change and ecological communities
Species interactions (competition, predation, mutualism, etc.) are fundamental to community composition and species distributions. However, current models predicting the effects of climate change on species distributions and community composition do not incorporate species interactions. Anticipating these changes is becoming increasingly important with the recognition that no-analog climates and no-analog communities are likely to occur during climate change.
To address these themes, I am developing semi-mechanistic models that account for species interactions as well as changing environmental conditions. These models can be used to understand how species interactions may mediate or exacerbate the effects of climate change on species and communities, and identify potential compositions and distributions of communities.
Climate change and ecological communities
Links
RELEVANT PAPERS:
2012: Science, Zarnetske, Skelly, Urban. Biotic Multipliers of Climate Change
2012, Urban et al. Proc. R. Soc. B: On a collision course: competition and dispersal differences create no-analogue communities and cause extinctions during climate change
AAAS 2012 Symposium The Community Ecology of Climate Change
Collaborators: David Skelly (Yale University), Mark Urban (University of Connecticut)
funding: Yale Climate and Energy Institute, Yale Institute for Biospheric Studies