It would be interesting to know what exactly about the subject of climate change makes non-scientists have such strong opinions about the facts.
There are many other areas that have less scientific consensus and greater short-term impacts on the average American, yet are not so hotly debated and the facts not so widely questioned in the mass media and general public.
(A good place to see debates in action is the message boards at ABC News. Do a search for ‘global warming’ or ‘climate change’.)
Economists, for example, make statements daily about interest rates, or exchange rates, or trade deficits, yet the validity of their calculations is seldom questioned nor are ideological agendas widely suspected.
Similarly for many other issues: public schools, health and nutrition, poverty…
People debate issues and solutions in regard to these subjects, but the facts themselves (and the researchers who report them) are not often or widely called into question.
Thoughts? Insights?



6 comments
April 20th, 2006 at 2:44 pm
Maya
I’m not sure the facts are debated. Aren’t we always hearing that there are just a few skeptics, who get widely quoted (unfortunately, one of them managed to convince Michael Crichton).
Or, maybe the issue is scientists’ views of the facts, vs. laypeople’s views of the facts. Scientists agree, but there’s still lots of contention among laypeople.
I think other issues are contentious too — for example, is Iraq a huge success story or not, or what are the effects of welfare.
And, maybe you could separate out the different strands of the climate change story. So, the basic trend isn’t under discussion (at least among scientists), but the effects are, and how we should adapt = very contentious.
April 20th, 2006 at 3:11 pm
Richard
>Scientists agree, but there’s still lots of contention among laypeople.
Yes, that’s the point I was trying to make. I didn’t mean to suggest that there’s debate among scientists on the broad points.
I think it’s very safe to say that in the general public, it’s not just a matter of people disagreeing about what to do about climate change, it’s that people aren’t convinced that it’s everything the scientists say it is.
However - this could be changing, literally as of this month: the Time and Vanity Fair cover stories, coverage on Oprah, the HBO documentary; much more and stronger high-profile coverage than ever before, if I’m not mistaken.
May 22nd, 2006 at 11:39 pm
Andy Barnett
1) Americans will have to become dramatically more efficient in order to reduce our greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions, and this transition involves short term costs.
2) As a species, we are programmed to deal with burning forests, but we are not programmed to deal with piles of dead and dry wood with lightning in the forecast. Americans acted to protect our waterways when the Cuyahoga River caught on fire, but we needed that sense of emergency to prod us to action. Sadly, most non-scientists have not reached the conclusion that the planet is in a state of ecological crisis.
3) Many non-scientists question scientific evidence that supports climate change because most of them fail to see our current situation as a dire threat to humanity, and because short term costs are associated with GHG reductions. In other words, they question scientific evidence because they don’t think climate change is all that bad and because a response will cost them money.
June 22nd, 2006 at 11:58 pm
Thomas Nephew
Let’s not overlook…
1) active disinformation campaigns by companies wanting to delay a transition to lower fossil fuel consumption, and
2) recognition by many Americans that they’re personally co-responsible for the problem. One response to that is to be defensive about it, and that can go hand in hand with welcoming any arguments that help muddy the issue or what to do about it.
September 15th, 2006 at 12:01 pm
Samuel Missimer
The active sliming of the broader environmental movement is at play here.
Disinformation is well financed and organized, as warming is recognized as a key wedge issue. Should the public become convinced that they have been mislead on this issue - then the entire house of cards becomes at risk, ergo the emphasis on discrediting environmentalists and dismantling the EPA.
Far left activists unknowingly played into this. Earth First, etc. opened the doors for ‘Eco Terrorist’ hyperbola.
In my work I invariably encounter otherwise rational, educated people who still feel that CC/GW is a partisan political issue - a manufactured Democratic hysteria.
This is most problematic, as the more strident one becomes, the more it feeds the enemy.
I coach people in my efforts to studiously remain apolitical in educational outreach, and to utilize ‘gentle education’ efforts - pointing people towards the appropriate resources to allow for their own interpretation, rather than arguing from our own position of acceptance.
This is less than efficient, but can convert some.
Sam
October 3rd, 2006 at 2:42 pm
Bill Marston
INTERESTING: Look at the dates and content of the postings in this thread:
April, May, June, Sept and now mine in October. Notice any change? (more than a rhetorical quesition)
I concur with Sam Missimer’s observation and his approach. In planning a symposium for Philadelphia (one of MANY in recent and upcoming weeks!!) I have observed more people volunteering in the groups which are a) inclusive, b) solution-oriented and c) aimed toward an on-going presence.
Unfortunately, this diminishes the more fully informed or more expert segment who are telling us that in fact things are happening rather more rapidly - and setting a timeframe of some 10 yrs hence after which behavioral change may make no difference in the severity of the CC/GW impacts.
Thus it is a balancing act - and a more delicate one for Americans in the absence of national-world leadership (admitting that there is such leadership although not in the seat of US government).
I’ve been advocating use of The Earth Charter (just as Kyoto Protocols did, this was born out of the World Sustainability Summit of ‘92) because it is holistic view of survivability & sustainability - it has something for people of every type, every level, every cultural or intellectual background. However, that makes it harder to ‘teach’, of course, than a single-point argument. Ah, well… working on different paths…
I will also post a link to a science-based exchange recently next.
Bill Marston, AIA & LEED AP
Philadelphia